
Morning Edition
Good morning. The tail end of that cold front responsible for our recent storminess is finally sagging south through Maryland today, and it’s dragging one more round of spotty showers and a rumble or two of thunder with it — mostly a western and far-northern MD concern this time, per NWS Baltimore/Washington (issued 3:57 AM) and NWS Mount Holly (2:56 AM). The good news: humidity drops noticeably behind it, and by Sunday and Monday we’re looking at genuinely pleasant, low-humidity late-summer air across the state. Today is the transition day — not a washout, but don’t be shocked by a passing shower or a distant clap of thunder, especially west of I-95.
Timing at a Glance
- Early morning (now–9 AM): Patchy low clouds, some fog in spots, and a few light showers lingering, mainly far northeast and north-central MD.
- Late morning–early afternoon: The front itself sags to around the Potomac River corridor. Scattered showers, a stray thunderstorm possible, focused western and central MD.
- Afternoon (1–6 PM): Best chance of an isolated strong-to-severe storm shifts toward far southern Maryland and points south into Virginia, as the front lingers and a Marginal Risk area brushes our southern tier. Damaging wind gusts are the primary concern with any storm that fires.
- Evening: Showers taper from west to east; skies begin clearing overnight as drier air filters in.
- Overnight into Sunday: Clearing, cooler, comfortably dry — the pattern reset arrives.
Western Maryland
Garrett County (Deep Creek/Oakland): High near 75°, breezy west winds around 7 mph, and the best shower-and-thunderstorm coverage in the state today — 55% chance, continuing scattered through the afternoon. Lows tonight near 57° with lingering shower chances and patchy fog settling into the valleys. Bring a jacket for the lake this evening.
Allegany County (Cumberland): High around 81°, northwest winds near 5 mph, 40% chance of showers and a possible thunderstorm through the day. Lows tonight near 61° with shower chances continuing into the evening before clouds break up.
Northern & Central Maryland
Washington County (Hagerstown): High near 80°, north winds around 6 mph. A slight chance of a rain shower this morning, transitioning to a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon (around 20%). Lows near 61° tonight.
Frederick County: High around 81°, north winds near 5 mph, only a 17% slight chance of a rain shower — mostly a dry day here. Lows near 62° tonight under partly cloudy skies.
Carroll County: Sharing Frederick’s numbers — high near 81°, slight rain shower chance around 17%, low near 62° overnight with clearing.
Baltimore Metro
Baltimore City & County: High around 83° under mostly cloudy skies, north winds near 6 mph. Rain chances stay low here — only 8% — so plan on a mostly dry, muggy-then-drying Saturday. Lows near 66° tonight, partly cloudy.
Harford County: Tracking with the Baltimore grid — low-to-mid 80s today (around 83°), minimal rain risk, low near 66° tonight.
Howard County: Same story — high near 83°, mostly cloudy, dry-leaning, low around 66° overnight.
Anne Arundel County: High near 83°, north winds around 6 mph, mostly cloudy with only isolated shower potential. Low near 66° tonight with clouds gradually thinning.
DC Suburbs
Montgomery County: High near 82°, north winds around 6 mph. Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms developing this afternoon (18%). Low near 65° tonight, mostly cloudy.
Prince George’s County: Same grid — high around 82°, afternoon slight-chance storm potential, low near 65° overnight.
Southern Maryland
Charles, Calvert & St. Mary’s Counties: High near 81°, north winds around 7 mph. This is the zone to watch most closely today — mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon (18%), and it’s the southern tier of Maryland that sits closest to where NWS Wakefield has flagged a Marginal Risk of an isolated strong-to-severe storm (damaging wind gusts the main concern) later today. Low near 66° tonight with lingering shower chances near 13%.
Upper Eastern Shore
Cecil, Kent, Queen Anne’s, Talbot & Caroline Counties: High near 83° with a slight chance of rain showers (20%) giving way to partly sunny skies later. North winds around 5 mph. Low near 64° tonight, partly cloudy.
Lower Eastern Shore
Dorchester, Wicomico & Somerset Counties: High near 84° — the warmest reading on the board today — with mostly partly sunny skies and only a 9% shower chance. North winds around 7 mph. Low near 64° tonight, partly cloudy. Sunday brings a better shower chance (32%) back into this zone.
Ocean City & the Coast
Worcester County / Ocean City: High near 80°, partly sunny, north winds around 9 mph. Rain chance stays low today (11%). At the beach: surf around 2 feet, rip current risk Low, water temps in the lower 80s, UV Moderate. Low tide at the Ocean City Fishing Pier is 8:24 AM, high tide 3:02 PM. Low tonight near 69°, mostly clear. Sunday brings a bump in surf to 2-3 feet and rip current risk rising to Moderate, plus a slight chance of showers — good beach day today, be a bit more cautious in the water tomorrow.
Active Hazards
No watches, warnings, or advisories are currently active for Maryland. NWS Baltimore/Washington’s Hazardous Weather Outlook does flag an isolated severe thunderstorm as possible for southern portions of the forecast area today — this aligns with the Marginal Risk zone noted above, mainly affecting Southern Maryland and points south. No formal watch has been issued at this time.
Severe & Flooding Threat
The severe threat today is genuinely low-end for Maryland — most of the Marginal-to-Slight Risk area sits over Virginia, West Virginia, and central VA, with only our southernmost counties brushing the edge of concern. If a storm does organize this afternoon or evening, damaging wind gusts are the primary hazard, with frequent lightning and locally heavy downpours possible. Flash flooding is not a widespread concern today; any heavy rain would be brief and localized. Confidence is moderate that most of central and eastern Maryland stays on the drier side of this system.
Heat, Humidity & Winds
Humidity remains elevated through the morning but noticeably eases through the afternoon as the front sags south — a welcome change after a sticky stretch. Winds run out of the north generally 5 to 9 mph statewide today, occasionally gustier along the coast near Ocean City (around 9 mph). Nothing approaching advisory-level wind is expected.
Chesapeake Bay & Marine
No marine hazards or advisories are in effect for Bay waters today. Winds stay light out of the north, generally under 10 knots, with seas calm to slight. A fine day for boaters, with conditions improving further into Sunday as drier, more stable air settles in.
Overnight Lows by Zone
| Western Mountains | Near 57° |
| Cumberland/Hagerstown | Near 61° |
| Frederick/Carroll | Near 62° |
| Baltimore/DC Corridor | Mid-60s (65–66°) |
| Southern Maryland | Near 66° |
| Eastern Shore | Low-to-mid 60s (64°) |
| Ocean City | Near 69° |
Looking Ahead
Sunday: This is the payoff day. Broad high pressure builds in from the Great Lakes, drying out the atmosphere and dropping humidity into genuinely comfortable territory. Highs settle into the low 80s across most of the state (upper 70s in the mountains, upper 70s at the coast), with lows in the 50s to low 60s. Delmarva and the Eastern Shore hold onto a slight shower chance, and Ocean City sees surf build to 2-3 feet with Moderate rip current risk. Labor Day (Monday): Looks like the best day of the holiday weekend — sunny, dry, seasonable, with highs in the low-to-mid 80s inland and upper 70s at the beaches. Enjoy it; by midweek, rising humidity and a Wednesday-Thursday cold front bring renewed shower and storm chances back into the picture.
Data: NWS Baltimore/Washington, Mount Holly & Wakefield. — MD Weather Alerts, keeping an eye on the sky so you don’t have to.